Futurism

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A place to discuss the ideas, developments, and technology that can and will shape the future of civilization.

Tenets:

(1) Concepts are often better treated in isolation -- eg: "what if energy became near zero cost?"
(2) Consider the law of unintended consequences -- eg: "if this happens, then these other systems fail"
(3) Pseudoscience and speculative physics are not welcome. Keep it grounded in reality.
(4) We are here to explore the parameter spaces of the future -- these includes political system changes that advances may trigger. Keep political discussions abstract and not about current affairs.
(5) No pumping of vapourware -- eg: battery tech announcements.

See also: !retrotechnology@lemmy.ca and !predictions@lemmy.ca

founded 3 years ago
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FULL ARTICLE: While fuel shortages due to the Iran war made some countries double down on electrification, they also highlighted one industry that could be quite literally grounded without fossil fuels: aviation. Flying relies on fossil-based jet fuels and is extremely hard to decarbonize.

Researchers in China now report a process that could help bring down flying’s carbon emissions while also tackling the plastic waste crisis. The two-step process converts plastic waste into high-quality jet fuel more efficiently and at much less cost than other methods researchers have reported in the past to convert plastic waste to fuels.

The team’s preliminary analysis, reported in published in Nature Energy, shows that the plastic-based fuel would cut carbon dioxide emissions by 73% compared with petroleum-based jet fuel.

The plastic that the researchers break down is polystyrene. This lightweight polymer, often commonly called Styrofoam, is used to make packaging and insulation. It is notoriously expensive and challenging to recycle. Besides usually being contaminated, it is composed mostly of air, which makes sorting and transportation difficult. Nearly all waste polystyrene goes to landfill today.

The team from Nanjing Forestry University and Tsinghua University designed a new catalyst that breaks down polystyrene at high temperatures in the presence of hydrogen. Their process runs continuously in a tandem reactor.

The first reactor heats the polystyrene to 460°C in a hydrogen atmosphere step. This breaks the long polymer chains in polystyrene to shorter strands. In the second reactor, the fragments are passed over the ruthenium catalyst at 160°C. The resulting chemical reactions convert the fragments into molecules called alkanes. These are energy-dense hydrocarbon molecules that work for jet fuel.

Past work on making fuels from plastic waste include a one-step, low-temperature process as well as a method that is powered by sunlight and also utilizes carbon dioxide. This new method needs higher temperatures, but it is faster, has a much higher yield and requires lower pressures. But still, whether or not it can be cost-effectively scaled up remains to be seen.

In their study, the researchers show that the method converts 94.8% of waste polystyrene to liquid fuels. And their preliminary analysis shows that the fuel would sell for a minimum of $1–1.80 per kilogram, competitive with conventional fossil-based jet fuel.

Source: Jia Wang et al. Ambient-pressure conversion of plastic waste to jet fuel cycloalkanes by tandem hydropyrolysis and vapour-phase hydrogenation. Nature Energy, 2026.

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Laser weapons, advanced drone warfare, and nation states around the globe redefined by climate change: this is the world in 2084, envisioned by authors Jim Stavridis and Elliot Ackerman.

Both are veterans -- Ackerman, a former Marine, did five tours in Iraq and Afghanistan; Stavridis is a retired four-star admiral and a former supreme allied commander of NATO. Their novel 2084 is the third in a trilogy. They compare their work to cold war fiction like Dr. Strangelove -- stories that imagined disasters specifically so society would work to avoid them. In this episode, they unpack what dangers they see on the distant horizon.

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Observed in closed experiments: Certain deep neural networks, even when untrained for spatial tasks spontaneously generate internal topological maps during optimization. These aren’t just abstract layouts, they mirror real world topographic patterns seen in magnetic fields and fluid dynamics. It suggests that once complexity crosses a threshold, any computational system naturally begins replicating physical forces internally, without external input. If this is universal, it implies that consciousness, topology, and computation are fundamentally entangled and that AI may evolve toward “field behavior” inevitably, without human permission or understanding

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If I'm #childfree, am I part of the problem or the solution? Discuss ;)

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The article and release are interesting unto themselves. However, as this is c/Futurism, let's discuss what happens in the future. How do you folks think this ideological battleground plays out in 5, 50, or 500 years?

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Alt text: An apple fell on Isaac Newton's head and gave him the idea that the moon might be a tasty apple, though this turned out not to be true--the Apollo program eventually determined that it was just a desolate and bland Red Delicious.

Hit me with your ridiculous futurism shower thoughts.

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tl;dr: maybe.

Experimental uncertainty still exists, and the error bars of the experiment still overlap with the error bars allowed by the Standard Model. Reproducibility in another facility also still required.

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tl;dr; pass out at 15s, brain death in 4m.

More interestingly though, what developments in technology do you think may happen to boost this number should we become a spacefaring civilization?

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Tl;dr: no.

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The chargers must be placed every 60km (37mi) and allow ad-hoc payment by card or contactless device without subscriptions.

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Can you imagine dishes that are only possible in low or zero gravity? Like, your souffles on Mars might never collapse!

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As the title says, what are all of the different futurisms, or like imaginings of the future?

So far in my sphere, i know of a few: solarpunk, cyberpunk, retrofuturism, and transhumanism.

  • solarpunk: green new decolonialized future where we use technology, natural systems, and cultual wisdom to live sustainably and in harmony with the Earth and others

  • cyberpunk: dystopia where technology is capable of many things, but is used in all the wrong ways. Megacorps control everything, and tech is ubiquitous

  • transhumanism: future where humans can overcome their linitations through technology, and we also delve into deeper questions of how technology and its use affects people

  • retrofuturism (i'm probably thinking more of atompunk, help me here???): Star Trek-esque, optimistic, 1900s view of the future with the typical flying cars, space hotels, and luxury comforts in a utopic setting

Can you guys think of any others? And if i'm wrong, please do correct me

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