this post was submitted on 22 Feb 2026
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[–] Gorilladrums@lemmy.world 100 points 3 weeks ago (52 children)

Nobody thinks this. Lemmy users need to stop being racist like this. Iranians are not stupid, these people have agency. They know what a war with the US means, they had two of their neighbors go through it. They know it's hell, but the thing is that the regime right now is so cartoonishly evil that if a war loosens their grip on power and opens up a real possibility for a new government, then it might just be worth it.

I'm Iraqi. My family lived through the terror of Saddam Hussein. The US invasion was hell. It destabilized the country and a lot of people died. Nobody recalls that time as a good one. Yet, at the same time, you'll be hard pressed to any Iraqi that wishes the US didn't depose of that evil regime.

[–] Riverside@reddthat.com 30 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (22 children)

Edit: as short as 4 months ago, the user above was referring to the Israeli genocide of Palestinians as "the Israel-Palestine conflict". They have posts complaining about leftism on Lemmy, praising the Cybertrucks and Teslas, and edgelording AI. Also, their posting and commenting hours suggest timezones in the continent of America, contrary to their claim of being Iraqi.

The main problem in Iran and the reason why protests broke out last months is simply US + EU sanctions. The Iranian currency imploded over the past months and drove many people to desperation, the current exchange rate is like 1.5mn to 1USD, and this is unequivocally the fault of the US + EU. However bad their regime, US+EU sanctions murder HALF A MILLION PEOPLE YEARLY in the world, the death burden of these sanctions is astronomically higher than anything you can ascribe to the Iranian government. The literal, EXPLICIT POLICY of sanctions is, and I quote official US documents: "to bring about hunger, desperation and overthrow of government".

Iran could have been a secular socialist democracy as Iranians democratically decided in the previous century under the government of Mosaddeq, but UK+USA conspired to bring the government down and brought back monarchy. The Iranian government is literally the fault of the Anglos. Stop doing atrocity propaganda for the US empire on the fucking verge of an invasion. And there are plenty of Iraqi who wholeheartedly condemn the invasion of Iraq even if it brought down the government of Saddam, because what followed was orders of magnitude worse. An example is Hakim on YouTube.

[–] Ruigaard@slrpnk.net 6 points 3 weeks ago (4 children)

Where do you base the number of half a million deaths due to US-EU sanctions on? Because I know the EU uses sanctions, but not (at least explicitly) with the intention of causing wide scale hunger.

[–] Riverside@reddthat.com 4 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (2 children)

The source for the half a million (actually 560k a year) comes from this recent study in The Lancet medical journal. It takes into account 50 years of sanction policy and arrives to that figure of murders, yearly, since 1971.

Good on you for questioning the sources, I love seeing people critical of online figures.

[–] Laser@feddit.org 5 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

The actual study and not just the short article is https://www.thelancet.com/journals/langlo/article/PIIS2214-109X(25)00189-5/fulltext. However, I don't really find the claim backed that the EU is a major factor in that regard:

In specification 4, for example, US unilateral sanctions were significant for six age groups, whereas EU unilateral sanctions were not significant in any of the age groups. When we included the six sanctions indicators in the regressions in specification 5 (USA-based, EU-based, and UN-based unilateral and economic sanctions), we continued to find that US sanctions deliver the most significant effects

Not very familiar with how to read the data, but to me, EU sanctions have no really significant impact on mortality in any of these specifications that would allow to construct a hard causality; there is almost no entry for EU sanctions in table 3 where there's a statistical significance, except for "Child mortality (5–10 years)" in Specifications 3 and 4, where it barely reaches the threshold (p=0.051 and p=0.052); in the latter, the UN sanctions have a MUCH higher correlation.

Not exactly sure how one can come to the conclusion that this is US+EU sanctions when there's such a difference between those when viewed in isolation… that said, a correlation doesn't necessarily mean causation, e.g. let's say there's a civil war and the government gets sanctioned, then you do have a correlation between deaths and the sanctions, but it's the former that caused the latter and not the other way around.

That said, I'm not disagreeing that sanctions can't have negative effect on a population, in fact it's the normal people getting hit first because usually the targets of sanctions will make sure it's their citizens suffering and not themselves

[–] Riverside@reddthat.com -1 points 3 weeks ago

What's your point? "EU should keep sanctioning people"? Or "Sanctions aren't mathematically proven to kill people even if there are extremely strong correlations and obvious mechanism through which this happens"?

[–] Ruigaard@slrpnk.net 3 points 3 weeks ago

Thanks for the source, interesting read. Makes me question sanction more. Haha, well here on Lemmy you can have a conversation when asking clarification, so thank you as well :)

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