this post was submitted on 31 Dec 2025
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[–] ProdigalFrog@slrpnk.net 5 points 15 hours ago

How do you figure the China/Russia combo are going to overcome Europe still having nukes? That they'll just gamble that no one will have the guts to use them and roll across the border?

The entire weight of the Russian military and decades of surplus are struggling to incapacitate a single, relatively poor country that's operating on table-scrap military hardware that the wealthy EU countries are willing to part with. China are propping them up because it's both highly profitable and politically expedient, but if anything, Russia has shown that they'd be the equivalent of Mussolini's Italy if they became involved in a larger conflict; a liability that needs to be bailed out time and time again after constant fuck-ups.

I could see China making a go for Taiwan, but all of Europe? I'd have to see some much more concrete data that shows they'd be able to survive economically losing the EU as a trading partner during the course of such a prolonged conflict.