this post was submitted on 03 Oct 2025
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[–] Eyekaytee@aussie.zone 2 points 2 months ago (14 children)
[–] MyBrainHurts@piefed.ca 27 points 1 month ago (3 children)

I think you're going to get yelled at and I apologize in advance.

It's a fair question, there's a lot of reckless claims made these days.

That being said, depending on how bad things get, yeah. Some incredibly populous places will be directly and heavily affected (1.21 billion currently in sub Saharan Africa alone.) Add in the conflicts over diminishing resources (think crop failures, droughts etc) as well as knock on effects (eg, increased range/spread of malaria.)

Heck, climate change has barely gotten started and I'd bet we're into millions dead already (compared to a non warning world) consider how many thousands have been lost to extreme events like floods, fires and heat waves.

[–] reactionality@lemmy.sdf.org 0 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (2 children)

Since we can't observe the counterfactual, meaning "had climate change not happened", the amount of deaths directly linked to the current severity of the climate change effects cannot be established for sure.

We can extrapolate, but we can't compare against a reality that did not happen.

[–] MyBrainHurts@piefed.ca 7 points 1 month ago

Sure, just like literally everything comparing reality to the counter-factual this involves estimates. Not a particularly profound or useful observation.

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