Climate Crisis, Biosphere & Societal Collapse

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A place to share news, experiences and discussion about the continuing climate crisis, societal collapse, and biosphere collapse. Please be respectful of each other and remember the human.

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DISCORD - Collapse

Earth - A Global Map of Wind, Weather and Ocean Conditions - Use the menu at bottom left to toggle different views. For example, you can see where wildfires/smoke are by selecting "Chem - COsc" to see carbon monoxide (CO) surface concentration.

Climate Reanalyzer (University of Maine) - A source for daily updated average global air temps, sea surface temps, sea ice, weather and more.

National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center (US) - Information about ENSO and weather predictions.

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association (NOAA) Global Temperature Rankings Outlook (US) - Tool that is updated each month, concurrent with the release of the monthly global climate report.

Canadian Wildland Fire Information System - Government of Canada

Surging Seas Risk Zone Map - For discovering which areas could be underwater soon.

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cross-posted from: https://scribe.disroot.org/post/10061181

  • Estonia, Luxembourg and UK are the top three in biennial Yale University index in tackling pollution and other issues
  • US, China are falling further behind, the researchers say

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The biennial Yale University index again ranks Estonia as the best-performing of 177 assessed countries, after strong recent efforts to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions and protect its ecosystems. Luxembourg is second, and the UK is third, having moved up from fifth place in the 2024 index.

European countries dominate the top 20, with only Japan, in 16th, not situated in the continent. Australia is in 25th place, two places ahead of the US. Laos is the last-ranked nation, with the bottom three rounded out by India and Bangladesh.

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Despite this worsening situation, several countries, most notably the US under Donald Trump, have recently scaled back efforts to combat the climate crisis. The Yale index uses data up to 2024, capturing the last part of Joe Biden’s presidency rather than Trump’s, but still finds that even then the US’s emissions were falling far too slowly to reach net zero by 2050, as the science demands must be done to avoid disastrous climate breakdown.

China, now the world’s largest carbon emitter ahead of the US, has made huge progress in developing its clean energy sector, the Yale report finds, but still derives 56% of its electricity from coal, the dirtiest of fossil fuels, and performs relatively poorly on its marine conservation and biodiversity stewardship, the scorecard found.

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“Europe has really stepped out in front and is continuing to pursue climate change with not the full vigor it might have a few years back when the political circumstances were different, but they’re getting the payback for decades now of work on this issue at the cutting edge,” said Esty.

“The laggards in the US and China both are still lagging, seem to be falling further behind and are holding back the global community’s efforts to achieve the targets that have been agreed upon.”

China has climbed the table somewhat to 129th position, however, after previously being ranked near last due to the dangerous air pollution suffered by many of its major cities. It has since removed many of the coal-fired power plants near cities that caused such problems. The Yale index also marks India down for its tree cover loss, pesticide pollution risks and ocean conservation from the last index. “India’s performance is shockingly bad for a country that aspires to be a leader in global terms on the economy,” Esty said.

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Archived

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Many snails, limpets and clams have adapted to life at crushing depths in the oceans on hydrothermal vents where water temperatures can reach 450 degrees C (842 F). But an assessment for the red list found that two-thirds of the hundreds of mollusk species found only on deep sea vents were at risk of extinction because of deep-sea mining.

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cross-posted from: https://mander.xyz/post/54927261

An Inside Climate News series that showed the often-hidden environmental impacts of China’s trillion-dollar global development push is a finalist for the John B. Oakes Award for Distinguished Environmental Journalism.

With reporting from Indonesia, Ecuador, Argentina, Peru, Zambia, Zimbabwe and Hungary, the “Planet China” stories showed how a country working to repair the ecological and public-health damage from its own industrialization is now wreaking similar harms beyond its borders.

“This trailblazing series connects the dots and unfurls a roadmap for environmental reporting in a globalized economy,” the judges wrote.

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Much of the recent media attention China is receiving for environmental matters focus on its major renewable energy investments, a plus for the climate. But through its Belt and Road Initiative, Beijing is also constructing and financing a vast network of dams, mines, ports, railways and other infrastructure beyond its borders.

Chinese officials have described the investments as win-win partnerships with countries long oppressed by Western exploitation. Inside Climate News found devastating impacts on the environment and public health, while journalists in Belt and Road countries have faced intimidation when they reported on the problems.

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Chinese-built dams threaten one of Earth’s largest glacial ice fields in Patagonia and the world’s most endangered great ape in Indonesia. In Zambia, villagers whose livelihoods were wiped out by a Belt and Road mine’s waste-pit spill were restricted from seeing their lawyers and pressured to sign away their rights. In Peru, a new Chinese-backed megaport could tip the Amazon rainforest over the edge, and a fleet of Chinese coal plants built around the world is a huge hurdle for governments trying to meet climate pledges.

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Web Archive link

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Lake Powell, the US’s second-largest reservoir, threatens to plunge to unprecedentedly low levels this year after a historically bleak snowpack failed to raise its water level, scientists and water experts have said, adding renewed urgency to stalled talks over how to conserve a water source depended on by tens of millions of people in the US south-west.

The 185-mile Colorado River reservoir currently stands at about 22% of its capacity,

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Regulations governing British fishing are supposed to keep it “environmentally sustainable in the long term.” But fish stocks in the United Kingdom are on the brink of collapse.

For those watching the industry closely, this is not a surprise: For decades, U.K. and European Union governments have regularly ignored fishing quota research recommendations. Almost 60 percent of all U.K. fish quotas set last year flouted scientific advice. Rather than sustainable management, governments are effectively overseeing their fishing industries’ slow-motion decline.

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Assessments by the International Council for the Exploration of the Sea (ICES)—whose data is used by the U.K. government to determine annual catch limits—are calling for a new zero-catch limit for well-loved species like Irish Sea plaice, while maintaining zero-catch warnings for already severely depleted stocks like Celtic Sea codwhiting and haddock.

“If you replace the word cod with the word tiger, people would be outraged at the declines,” said Jonny Hughes, senior policy manager at Blue Marine Foundation, a British ocean conservation charity. 

While ICES has recommended a zero-catch limit for Celtic Sea cod since at least 2020, the government established a bycatch quota of over 640 tons this year despite scientists projecting a total population of less than 590 tons.

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cross-posted from: https://mander.xyz/post/54832873

The $5 billion East African Crude Oil Pipeline (EACOP), which will transport crude from Uganda's Albertine Graben to Tanzania's Tanga port, is nearly completed, after years of delays and controversies surrounding the project. The development of EACOP is being led by French supermajor TotalEnergies along with the Chinese state-owned China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC).

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Ugandan farmers ... filed the lawsuit against the UK-registered EACOP Ltd, contend that the pipeline, the oil production, and the route would harm water resources in the area, as well as wildlife and biodiversity.

The 1,443-kilometer pipeline ... is expected to peak at around 200,000 barrels per day.

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The plaintiffs hope a successful lawsuit could stop the pipeline from becoming operational.

"The case seeks remedies that could go to the heart of the project's commercial viability, including an injunction to stop oil being transported through the pipeline, as well as compensation and other legal relief under Ugandan law," the Ugandan farmers said

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Former reports warned that

EACOP Project cuts through 44 protected areas and 7 Key Biodiversity Areas, threatening critical habitats, endangered species, and ecosystem services that support local communities ...

Displacement caused by large-scale infrastructure projects like EACOP is not just a question of compensation, it fundamentally reshapes the lives, livelihoods, and social fabric of affected communities. A 2023 study by the Africa Institute for Energy Governance (AFIEGO) found that 41% of displaced households received low-productivity replacement land, and only 3% rated their new land as highly productive. Crop yields have declined, with 77% of households harvesting over 51 kg per season after displacement, compared to 92% before ...

Human Rights Watch reports that many displaced individuals received compensation insufficient to purchase replacement land, and delays in payments have caused further hardship. Poverty in many regions along the pipeline corridor leaves communities particularly vulnerable to coercion or inadequate compensation, forcing them to accept agreements that may not reflect their long-term well-being ...

Web Archive link

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cross-posted from: https://news.abolish.capital/post/62184

The world's oceans are the hottest on record for June, pushing past records set during the 2023–24 El Niño years.


From Earth News - Earth Science News, Earth Science, Climate Change via This RSS Feed.

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cross-posted from: https://scribe.disroot.org/post/9956475

The Hajdú-Bihar County Government Office took action against Semcorp Hungary Kft., which manufactures lithium-ion battery separator films, following an investigation that uncovered severe subsurface contamination. The findings also detected a range of other heavy metals, while the mayor of Debrecen has announced a criminal complaint in the case.

The company had previously maintained that a leaking, pungent, unidentified substance was merely condensation water and posed no environmental risk.

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Chinese company insisted substance was harmless

The investigation began after samples were taken in February from a rainwater drainage channel near the industrial site, following an operational incident. During an on-site inspection on 26 February, officials recorded that a steaming, sharp-smelling, unidentified substance was seeping into the soil.

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Laboratory results revealed unexpectedly severe contamination. Aluminium concentrations in groundwater reached 2,676,000 micrograms per litre, compared with a legal threshold of 200 micrograms per litre — more than 13,000 times the permitted level, local Debreciner wrote.

In addition to aluminium, elevated levels of several metals were detected, including arsenic, zinc, lead, cobalt, cadmium, nickel, barium, chromium, copper, manganese, lithium and iron. According to the authorities, most of these are not of natural origin, a conclusion supported by baseline environmental data from 2021.

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Documents now in the public domain show that the authorities had already established a regulatory breach on 22 May. The contamination was traced to a section of the plant where aqueous aluminium oxide solutions are used — an area the company had intended to keep in operation.

The immediate suspension was deemed necessary, as further environmental damage could not be ruled out even during the appeals process.

The government office also noted that although Semcorp carried out mandatory sampling, it submitted the results after the deadline, resulting in a fine of one million forints. The company has challenged this penalty in court.

Multiple regulatory proceedings are now under way. Environmental authorities have ordered remediation measures, required a full site investigation, and launched proceedings over operations deviating from permit conditions. The company must also install waterproofing in a stormwater retention basin, conduct quarterly monitoring of observation wells, expand the scope of tested substances, and reimburse procedural costs exceeding two million forints.

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László Papp, the mayor of Debrecen, said the city and its asset management company had been informed of groundwater contamination exceeding legal limits, which he described as unacceptable.

He stressed that this was not the first instance in which environmental concerns had arisen in connection with the company, and confirmed that the municipality had filed a criminal complaint.

...

Archived

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The Doomsday Glacier, or Thwaites Glacier as it's more correctly known, is one of the most concerning ice sheets in Antarctica. The thin ice shelf that keeps it in place has been cracking for some time now, and the latest research strongly suggests that ice shelf could give way at any time in the next few months. That would allow the main glacier behind it to begin its inexorable journey into the sea, with all sorts of extremely unwanted consequences. So, how bad could it get?

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Check out Dr Ella Gilbert's YouTube page at the link below

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCjaBxCyjLpIRyKOd8uw_S4w

https://inv.nadeko.net/channel/UCjaBxCyjLpIRyKOd8uw_S4w

Other Reference links

Bedmap 3 research paper www.nature.com/articles/s41597-025-04672-y

Sea Ice Loss and Sea level rise https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2025GL118823

Polar RES research paper https://tc.copernicus.org/articles/20/2629/2026/

Nature article on Thwaites Ice Shelf https://www.newscientist.com/article/2526826-the-doomsday-glaciers-giant-ice-shelf-is-about-to-break-away/

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cross-posted from: https://mander.xyz/post/54715304

One woman, Marie Pierre [Sierra Leone's Sherbo Island in West Africa], is picking sardines from among the discarded jelly fish. She says that international trawlers are illegally entering the coastal waters in ever larger numbers, despite there being an official exclusion zone to keep them out.

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West Africa remains the global epicentre for illegal fishing. An estimated 40% of the world's unlicensed catch can be traced to its waters, according to a 2024 global report.

The study estimated that this costs West African nations a combined $10bn in lost revenues, and risks the food security of millions of people. Commentators say that the situation has not improved in the subsequent two years.

Thomas Turay, president of Sierra Leone's Fishermen's Union, says that the average catches for his members are down some 40% in recent years. And he's in no doubt where the blame lies.

"The illegal fishing is too much," he says. "The sea belongs to us, but for the foreign trawlers, they come at night and violate the seven-mile exclusion zone, they come right into the shore here."

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So, what are nationalities of the international ships off the coast of Sierra Leone?

Steve Trent, CEO and co-founder of global campaign group Environmental Justice Foundation (EJF), says the vast majority are from China.

"In the past, we've seen South Korean vessels there, we've seen Taiwanese, we see European vessels there doing bad things. But now when you look across that region, it is overwhelmingly Chinese".

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Trent from the EJF says the Chinese government is adopting a head-in-the-sand approach.

"It's simply not credible for them to carry on in this way. China, to date, still is not doing nearly enough to control its fleet. In fact, I would say they're enabling it, through subsidies, through a lack of oversight and control."

The solution, Trent says, needs to come from better tracking of commercial vessels, and increased international pressure on Beijing, including from consumers themselves. The fish taken from west Africa's rich coastal waters is being sold for consumption around the world, he points out.

"You can choose, do you want to take a product that's been fished illegally, probably unsustainably, stolen from a poor third-party nation, or do you want a product that you actually enjoy eating?"

...

Web Archive link

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The collapse of a social safety net in real time stage lit in grand style... as a warning to everyone else what not to do I guess? I don't know Guildenstern this is all so confusing...

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Hell has been successfully brought to earth.

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cross-posted from: https://slrpnk.net/post/39742050

The data center boom shows that world-altering infrastructure can rapidly expand when the interests of state and capital are aligned.

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cross-posted from: https://news.abolish.capital/post/61043

The world's oceans just experienced their hottest June on record and could set fresh highs in the months ahead as El Niño and climate change drive temperatures even higher, scientists said Wednesday.


From Earth News - Earth Science News, Earth Science, Climate Change via This RSS Feed.

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Alarms are ringing across the world as reports suggest there is a 90% chance of El Niño developing, with some models even warning of a possible Super El Niño if current trends continue. For India, this is not just a weather event. It could stress every part of an already fragile system, from agriculture and water supply to electricity, food prices, public health, and livelihoods. But this is not a moment for panic. It is a moment for preparation. The urgency of El Niño gives us a rare opportunity to look closely at our weakest points, strengthen our infrastructure, and build resilience not just for the months ahead, but for every climate shock India will face in the future.

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Our recent research, published in the journal Energy and Buildings, shows Sydney apartments built to current building codes may become very uncomfortable by 2050, far more often. In fact, we found that inside an apartment built to today's standards, temperatures would stay above 30°C for several days in a row.

Sydney is rapidly rezoning, leads the nation in apartment living, and is still racing to build more homes. Many of the developments approved today will still be standing in 2050.

link to open access article https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378778826008637?via=ihub

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cross-posted from: https://mander.xyz/post/54422626

China’s new plan for building a new-type energy system during the 15th Five-Year Plan (FYP) period sends a signal about the continued expansion of clean energy, but the targets would have to be exceeded by a wide margin to keep China on track for its wider energy transition and climate pledges.

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The power sector target is weak. The target for non-fossil sources to provide 50% of power generation by 2030 still leaves roughly half of China’s electricity generation coming from fossil fuels. Starting from the plan’s 2025 baseline of 42.3% non-fossil generation, if total power generation grows by 5% per year, total generation would be about 27.6% higher by 2030. Under a 50% non-fossil share, fossil fuel generation, especially from coal, could still rise by around 10.6% over the period and the target would still be met. The plan reiterates that coal consumption should peak during the 15th FYP period, but it has no quantitative cap on coal generation or capacity, nor any explicit roadmap for phasing down coal.

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The new carbon intensity target for the power sector is even more conservative. The plan requires power sector carbon emissions per unit of generation to fall by more than 10% from 2025 level by 2030. Directionally, that is positive. But it does not imply an absolute fall in power-sector emissions. With 5% annual growth in power generation, a 10% reduction in carbon intensity would still allow power sector carbon emissions to increase by roughly 15% over the period, or almost 3% per year. To keep absolute power-sector emissions flat by 2030, carbon intensity would need to fall by roughly 22% if power generation grows by 5% per year. That makes the target look modest compared with recent progress. Ember estimates that China’s power sector carbon intensity fell to 525gCO2/kWh in 2025, down 5% from 2024. China’s official 2024 national electricity carbon footprint factor also fell by 6.9% year on year.

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The wind and solar targets tell the same story. The plan says wind and solar should account for more than 50% of installed power capacity by 2030. That sounds large, but it requires only about 170GW of new wind and solar capacity per year, far below the roughly 430GW added in 2025. The target for 30% of generation from wind and solar is also modest. Wind and solar already accounted for 15.8% of China’s power generation in 2023, 18.6% in 2024 and 22% in 2025, increasing by an average of 3.1 percentage points per year over the past two years. Raising the share from 22% in 2025 to 30% by 2030 would require only about 1.6 percentage points per year–roughly half the recent pace.

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The plan comes at a time of continuously heightened energy security concerns, which have in the past mostly translated into coal as an energy security provider. While Beijing’s leaders are increasingly framing the transition to clean energy as a way to ensure energy security, this new plan still leaves ample wiggle room for China’s traditional coal power interests, rather than doubling down on the clean energy sectors.

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Overall, the targets in the plan alone are insufficient for China to meet its existing climate commitments. Many of the headline targets look like conservative floors, or the formalisation of previously signalled objectives. It suggests a continued reluctance to use binding volume targets to force down fossil generation. The missing piece could still come from the top. China’s new carbon dual-control policy gives central leaders a stronger tool to turn carbon targets into incentives for local governments. If the top leadership makes carbon control a clear priority, it could override the low ambition in this plan. Without that push, the plan will not by itself force a decline in power-sector emissions by 2030.

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Web Archive link

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